PUB DEF is a non-partisan, independent political tabloid based in the City of St. Louis, Missouri. Our goal is to cast a critical eye on lawmakers, their policies, and those that have influence upon them, and to educate our readers about legislation and the political processes that affect our daily lives.
In some respects, Missouri seems to have gone the opposite of the rest of the states on Tuesday.
Obama made significant inroads into "white solid Democratic" areas such as South St. Louis. In other states' "white solid Democratic" areas such as Boston's inner ring suburbs, or inner-ring New Jersey suburbs of NYC and Philly, Clinton carried these areas quite strongly.
It appears to me that McCaskill's endorsement of Obama really helped him with white Democrats, as did Obama's rally at the Dome on Saturday. It's always hard to precisely measure the effect of that rally, but I can tell you that the buzz in the city that day was palpable.
Edwards' support in the city was running at around 15%-20% before his departure. It appears to me that Obama received a lot of that support - and I'd wager to guess that the majority of the Edwards support (which included me, btw) comprised white (more likely male) Southsiders. Personally, I had a hard time deciding between Hillary and Barack after Edwards' dropped out. But the rally, and Obama's change message convinced me in the end. Simply put, Obama did more, and had more organizational support, on the ground in STL. He made substantial inroads among white Democrats because of it.
Also, I think it's notable that Clinton modestly won the 11th Ward (less than 50 votes out of 1815 cast). In the 12th, her margin was better but not commanding (roughly 300 votes out of 2473 votes cast).
My guess is that this 12th-Ward pattern repeated itself in South County inner-ring suburbs such as Affton and Lemay. Clinton may have "won" these areas, but not at the margins she needed in the Democratic bastions that make up "St. Louis."
Low turnout due to lack of Committeeperson working on jobs not the real issues at the polls and many do not understand our process for President and it needs deeper attention given to civics and politics 101 for the city and nations sake.
Thank you for finding and posting this, Antonio.
ReplyDeleteIn some respects, Missouri seems to have gone the opposite of the rest of the states on Tuesday.
Obama made significant inroads into "white solid Democratic" areas such as South St. Louis. In other states' "white solid Democratic" areas such as Boston's inner ring suburbs, or inner-ring New Jersey suburbs of NYC and Philly, Clinton carried these areas quite strongly.
It appears to me that McCaskill's endorsement of Obama really helped him with white Democrats, as did Obama's rally at the Dome on Saturday. It's always hard to precisely measure the effect of that rally, but I can tell you that the buzz in the city that day was palpable.
Edwards' support in the city was running at around 15%-20% before his departure. It appears to me that Obama received a lot of that support - and I'd wager to guess that the majority of the Edwards support (which included me, btw) comprised white (more likely male) Southsiders. Personally, I had a hard time deciding between Hillary and Barack after Edwards' dropped out. But the rally, and Obama's change message convinced me in the end. Simply put, Obama did more, and had more organizational support, on the ground in STL. He made substantial inroads among white Democrats because of it.
Also, I think it's notable that Clinton modestly won the 11th Ward (less than 50 votes out of 1815 cast). In the 12th, her margin was better but not commanding (roughly 300 votes out of 2473 votes cast).
ReplyDeleteMy guess is that this 12th-Ward pattern repeated itself in South County inner-ring suburbs such as Affton and Lemay. Clinton may have "won" these areas, but not at the margins she needed in the Democratic bastions that make up "St. Louis."
Brian Wahby and his crew (Martin, Gregg, et al.) should be very proud of the turn-out their hard work produced in the city.
ReplyDeleteLow turnout due to lack of Committeeperson working on jobs not the real issues at the polls and many do not understand our process for President and it needs deeper attention given to civics and politics 101 for the city and nations sake.
ReplyDeleteAlot of good republicans voted for Hillary because she will be the easiest to beat
ReplyDelete